Monday, January 5, 2009

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The Bryce

Noticiaspoker The guys made this translation of an article by Bryce Paradis "The Bryce" was in 2 +2. The article seems to me, simply the best general article on poker I've ever read so I'll copy it on my blog.



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Bryce The secret to winning at poker


What a person needs to play "good poker? Even veteran players may give a wide range of opinions on this. There are, however, a single correct definition. The goal of a poker player is to choose the strategy with the highest expected value (EV). Every poker decision has two parts:


1. Make an assumption about what the strategy of your opponent.

2. Choose the strategy that has more EV based on what you assumed that is the strategy of your opponent.

therefore play good poker is:

"Making the assumption accurate as possible about what your opponent's strategy, based on the information you have available, and choose the strategy most EV based on that."

Are you able to get both things you can expect to earn as much money playing poker. Poker is a game of incomplete information, what your cards and what their strategy is not directly available to you. Here are some things that are not part of a good game.

Playing good poker is not about to know exactly what cards your opponent. Imagine you're playing No Limit Hold'em with a friend and I goes all-in. Imagine that you know your friend just do that with 2c 3s or AA. KK and her rise have put you 1:1 with the boat. You should throw yourself sometimes even having 2c 3s. Based on what you know, your opponent will 3s 2c 14% of the time and AA 86% (there are more ways than the deck of your friend AA). Playing good poker

also means not being clairvoyant about what your opponent's actions represent. Imagine you're playing against an opponent whose strategy is to bluff 20% of the time you bet. Bet. Are you bluffing? As in the previous example there is information you need to distinguish between the times that your opponent is bluffing and sometimes not. Just know that bluff about 20% of the time, and you must choose your strategy accordingly.

Finally, play good poker has nothing to do with the current strategy of your opponent. Imagine your best, you're playing poker for the first time. Your first 1,000 rivals go all in with every hand pre-flop. You sit and 1,001 rival is dealt his first hand. Going all-in. You assume that it is very likely to do that with any two cards. You decide to call with KK. It happens that their strategy was to raise all-in only with AA, leading letters. What we assume about his strategy was not a mistake, it was a perfectly reasonable assumption for you given the information available. If you had played hundreds of hands with this new rival and had gone all-in pre-flop your assumption would have been stupid then.

So how does one learn to be a "good poker player? The first thing you have to do is to realize that the two sides of a decision Poker is fundamentally different.

Make an assumption about the strategy your opponent is a trial inductive (intuitive). To the extent that the strategy your opponent is unknown will never be able to determine exactly how your assumptions are accurate. For example, if you see your opponent bluffs four of four hands can not say, safely, that his strategy is always bluffing. Criticizing the conclusions you get the information that can help ensure you are making rational judgments, however. This tends to lead to tighter assumptions. It is important to take time to ask things about the judgments that you: What information is currently available? Is there any information you might have missed? Is all the information that was involved was relevant in your opinion? An honest and thorough assessment of your assumptions will help ensure that they were as close as possible.

Since our assumptions are trying to teach inductive processes "good assumptions tends to be ineffective. While general assumptions, such as "your competition probably will not throw kings pre-flop," tend to be true, can be extremely difficult to remember, and let us also inform all the factors involved in the assumptions in poker. Being able to infer what actions indicate past your opponents about the future is a skill developed through experience. Therefore not usually put much emphasis on valuable advise about what you should assume that your opponents are doing.

Choose more EV strategy, based on your assumptions, is a process (logical) deduction. It is mathematically possible to determine what is the EV of a strategy. As a result you can rely completely on your strategic decisions. Unfortunately determine the EV of a strategy is sometimes easier said than done.

A great poker player would be able to calculate the EV of each decision. All However, it is unreasonable to expect that players will have this capability. Calculate the EV of a strategy in the four blocks game is a task inappropriate for men. Would not only extremely difficult but also would be impractical. As a result, many poker players tend to use empirical data (based on experience) rather than analytical (based on logic) to make strategic decisions. The learning curve in poker can be very steep, and many players tend to use generalized strategic advice. To become a good player you have to understand why the general advice and empirical data analysis are lower than mathematics as a tool to select strategies. This will help you make responsible use of such tools.

The conditions under which a general counsel is true are not necessarily the same as those given in the game you're playing. "You should not throw you to a bet on the river being the second best possible hand is a perfectly reasonable advice. In my experience tends to be right more times than not. Anyway, it is important to realize that there is no necessary link between someone says that's just right and it is indeed. The EV of a strategy depends on what is at risk based on the potential reward and the probability of an event occurring. May be situations in which your opponents choose strategies that make this advice work.

The general tips are useful and generally correct, and is positive about not to follow. The best general advice tends to try to be as accurate as possible by introducing exceptions. Anyway, there are too many exceptions. While a great poker player will agree with the good general advice will also recognize the conditions under which these tips are not correct and choose another path.

The conclusions drawn from empirical data tend to flourish. Imagine that you open the pot up to 76th on the button 10,000 times and obtained value of it. This information can be used to support the council "must open the pot with a raise from the button with the 76th." However, realize that this lawsuit is entirely justified by the data used. Not all conditions that can occur in a game are taken into consideration given that data (your strategy and your opponents, for example). This council is a generalization. The conclusion is an assumption justified. By using empirical data to make strategic decisions is important to be mindful of what you say and what not the data.

would (hypothetically) possible to identify a large number of potential strategies of your rivals and use mathematical analysis to solve the anti-optimal strategies for each. Again, this would be extremely impractical, both for the teacher and the learner. People do not give general advice because they are theoretically ideal, because they give them practical tools for teaching and are relatively good, although imperfect, poker. Coaches should be aware of the shortcomings of general advice and use them intelligently and effectively.

very new players are advised to stay within the channels of the general advice given to them, unless they have compelling reasons that they must act differently. These players should recognize anyway, your goal is to become mature poker players have the capacity to determine whether they are making intelligent strategic decisions for themselves. The quickest, most effective, to do that is by being able to calculate the EV of simple strategies. This requires some credit with the mathematics of poker.

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